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Periodic Engine
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Pick an element. Understand the risk. Follow the dependency.

Modeled intelligence for the elements powering AI, defense, energy, telecom, semiconductors, and industrial infrastructure.

Genesis 12 Active118 Elements VisibleModeled scores
Static modeled supply context

Periodic Table

Genesis 12 active. Other 106 visible but muted.

SelectedGenesis 12 ActiveInactive profiles (106)CriticalHighWatchCore

Global Supply Context

Static modeled supply context for the selected element.

CriticalHighModerateWatchNeutral
Fiji: modeled context not active yetTanzania: modeled context not active yetW. Sahara: modeled context not active yetCanada: modeled context not active yetUnited States of America: modeled supply contextKazakhstan: modeled context not active yetUzbekistan: modeled context not active yetPapua New Guinea: modeled context not active yetIndonesia: modeled context not active yetArgentina: modeled context not active yetChile: modeled context not active yetDem. Rep. Congo: modeled context not active yetSomalia: modeled context not active yetKenya: modeled context not active yetSudan: modeled context not active yetChad: modeled context not active yetHaiti: modeled context not active yetDominican Rep.: modeled context not active yetRussia: modeled supply contextBahamas: modeled context not active yetFalkland Is.: modeled context not active yetNorway: modeled context not active yetGreenland: modeled context not active yetFr. S. Antarctic Lands: modeled context not active yetTimor-Leste: modeled context not active yetSouth Africa: modeled context not active yetLesotho: modeled context not active yetMexico: modeled context not active yetUruguay: modeled context not active yetBrazil: modeled context not active yetBolivia: modeled context not active yetPeru: modeled context not active yetColombia: modeled context not active yetPanama: modeled context not active yetCosta Rica: modeled context not active yetNicaragua: modeled context not active yetHonduras: modeled context not active yetEl Salvador: modeled context not active yetGuatemala: modeled context not active yetBelize: modeled context not active yetVenezuela: modeled context not active yetGuyana: modeled context not active yetSuriname: modeled context not active yetFrance: modeled context not active yetEcuador: modeled context not active yetPuerto Rico: modeled context not active yetJamaica: modeled context not active yetCuba: modeled context not active yetZimbabwe: modeled context not active yetBotswana: modeled context not active yetNamibia: modeled context not active yetSenegal: modeled context not active yetMali: modeled context not active yetMauritania: modeled context not active yetBenin: modeled context not active yetNiger: modeled context not active yetNigeria: modeled context not active yetCameroon: modeled context not active yetTogo: modeled context not active yetGhana: modeled context not active yetCôte d'Ivoire: modeled context not active yetGuinea: modeled context not active yetGuinea-Bissau: modeled context not active yetLiberia: modeled context not active yetSierra Leone: modeled context not active yetBurkina Faso: modeled context not active yetCentral African Rep.: modeled context not active yetCongo: modeled context not active yetGabon: modeled context not active yetEq. Guinea: modeled context not active yetZambia: modeled context not active yetMalawi: modeled context not active yetMozambique: modeled context not active yeteSwatini: modeled context not active yetAngola: modeled context not active yetBurundi: modeled context not active yetIsrael: modeled context not active yetLebanon: modeled context not active yetMadagascar: modeled context not active yetPalestine: modeled context not active yetGambia: modeled context not active yetTunisia: modeled context not active yetAlgeria: modeled context not active yetJordan: modeled context not active yetUnited Arab Emirates: modeled context not active yetQatar: modeled context not active yetKuwait: modeled context not active yetIraq: modeled context not active yetOman: modeled context not active yetVanuatu: modeled context not active yetCambodia: modeled context not active yetThailand: modeled context not active yetLaos: modeled context not active yetMyanmar: modeled context not active yetVietnam: modeled context not active yetNorth Korea: modeled context not active yetSouth Korea: modeled supply contextMongolia: modeled context not active yetIndia: modeled context not active yetBangladesh: modeled context not active yetBhutan: modeled context not active yetNepal: modeled context not active yetPakistan: modeled context not active yetAfghanistan: modeled context not active yetTajikistan: modeled context not active yetKyrgyzstan: modeled context not active yetTurkmenistan: modeled context not active yetIran: modeled context not active yetSyria: modeled context not active yetArmenia: modeled context not active yetSweden: modeled context not active yetBelarus: modeled context not active yetUkraine: modeled context not active yetPoland: modeled context not active yetAustria: modeled context not active yetHungary: modeled context not active yetMoldova: modeled context not active yetRomania: modeled context not active yetLithuania: modeled context not active yetLatvia: modeled context not active yetEstonia: modeled context not active yetGermany: modeled supply contextBulgaria: modeled context not active yetGreece: modeled context not active yetTurkey: modeled context not active yetAlbania: modeled context not active yetCroatia: modeled context not active yetSwitzerland: modeled context not active yetLuxembourg: modeled context not active yetBelgium: modeled context not active yetNetherlands: modeled context not active yetPortugal: modeled context not active yetSpain: modeled context not active yetIreland: modeled context not active yetNew Caledonia: modeled context not active yetSolomon Is.: modeled context not active yetNew Zealand: modeled context not active yetAustralia: modeled context not active yetSri Lanka: modeled context not active yetChina: modeled supply contextTaiwan: modeled supply contextItaly: modeled context not active yetDenmark: modeled context not active yetUnited Kingdom: modeled context not active yetIceland: modeled context not active yetAzerbaijan: modeled context not active yetGeorgia: modeled context not active yetPhilippines: modeled context not active yetMalaysia: modeled context not active yetBrunei: modeled context not active yetSlovenia: modeled context not active yetFinland: modeled context not active yetSlovakia: modeled context not active yetCzechia: modeled context not active yetEritrea: modeled context not active yetJapan: modeled supply contextParaguay: modeled context not active yetYemen: modeled context not active yetSaudi Arabia: modeled context not active yetN. Cyprus: modeled context not active yetCyprus: modeled context not active yetMorocco: modeled context not active yetEgypt: modeled context not active yetLibya: modeled context not active yetEthiopia: modeled context not active yetDjibouti: modeled context not active yetSomaliland: modeled context not active yetUganda: modeled context not active yetRwanda: modeled context not active yetBosnia and Herz.: modeled context not active yetMacedonia: modeled context not active yetSerbia: modeled context not active yetMontenegro: modeled context not active yetKosovo: modeled context not active yetTrinidad and Tobago: modeled context not active yetS. Sudan: modeled context not active yetChinaU.S.RussiaGermanyKoreaTaiwan

Map reflects modeled primary production, processing, and downstream exposure for the selected element.

Selected Element

31GaGallium
Symbol
Ga
Atomic number
31
Category
Post-transition metal
Overall score
86 / 100
Status
Critical
Confidence
Medium

Dependency Path

GaGa / Gallium
2GaN / GaAs materials
3RF chips + power devices
4Telecom + radar + satellites
5AI infrastructure + defense systems

Civilization Impact

82 / 100

Core system exposure

Supply Chain Risk

96 / 100

Concentration and fragility

Strategic Value

94 / 100

Defense and industrial relevance

Substitution Risk

88 / 100

Replacement difficulty

Future Relevance

91 / 100

Forward demand signal

Confidence

Medium

Key Uses

SemiconductorsGaN, GaAs, and advanced semiconductor devices.
RF ElectronicsHigh-frequency amplifiers, filters, and components.
Defense SystemsRadar, electronic warfare, sensors, secure communications.
Power ElectronicsPower conversion, inverters, efficient devices.
Space SystemsSatellites, space electronics, high-efficiency solar.

Substitution Detail

SubstituteViabilityGap / Limitation
Silicon Carbide (SiC)PartialHigher cost, different fab process.
Indium Phosphide (InP)LimitedRare material, lower availability, costly.
Other III-V alternativesLimitedPerformance tradeoffs, specific niche use.
No substituteNoneEssential for high-performance RF and power devices.

Substitution verdict: Not viable at scale for most critical applications.

Supply Chain Flow

1

Mining

  • China
  • Russia
  • Other
2

Processing

  • China
  • Primary
3

Refining

  • China
  • Primary
4

Manufacturing

  • Taiwan
  • South Korea
  • Japan
  • United States
5

End Use

  • Telecom
  • Defense
  • AI Infrastructure

Gallium supply-chain exposure is highly concentrated in processing and refining, with downstream manufacturing tied to Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

Element Relationships

GaSiCuTaNdGe

Gallium co-occurs with silicon, copper, tantalum, neodymium, and germanium across semiconductor, telecom, defense, and advanced electronics supply chains.

What to Watch

View Watchlist

Export control changes

May affect downstream availability.

Processing concentration

Raises supply-chain exposure.

Critical mineral updates

May change policy and procurement priority.

Substitution breakthroughs

Could reduce dependency risk.

Static modeled signal framework. Source-linked event tracking comes later.

Modeled Scenario

China gallium export disruption

SemiconductorsCritical
RF / TelecomHigh
Defense SystemsHigh
Power ElectronicsModerate
Space SystemsCritical

Modeled scenario impact. Not forecasting.

Risk Summary

Gallium is highly strategic because it connects semiconductors, RF systems, radar, telecom, satellites, LEDs, solar cells, and power electronics to concentrated production and processing exposure.

Open Gallium PageView MethodologyView Sources